Lake Tahoe

Tahoe-Truckee Summer 2026: Outcomes by Sold-Price Band

Market data analysis published by Trinkie Watson · Chase International. Published .

Did price band change the pattern in the supplied summer closings?

Yes, but the result is descriptive rather than predictive. The $1 million-to-under-$2 million band contained 110 of the 246 closings. The $3 million-plus band contained 32 and had a 97.4% median sold-to-exported-asking ratio.

Sold-price band Closings Median sold price Median sold / exported ask Below ask Above ask Median reported DOM
Under $1m 69 $825,000 100.0% 33 20 18
$1m to under $2m 110 $1,400,000 99.3% 58 29 15
$2m to under $3m 35 $2,495,000 98.1% 23 8 30
$3m or more 32 $5,587,500 97.4% 22 4 21

What the table can answer

It can answer how the 246 supplied closing records were distributed after each sale was assigned to a band using its sold price. It can also show the middle record-level sold-to-asking ratio and middle valid reported market time within each band.

The table cannot estimate the probability that a current listing will close, the amount a buyer should offer, or the amount a seller should reduce. Unsuccessful listings are absent, and the export does not provide a complete original-list-price history.

Why the band definition matters

Because bands use sold price, a property can have crossed a threshold from its exported asking price. These results should not be described as the performance of listings that began in each asking-price tier. The denominator is completed sales in the supplied file.

The $3 million-plus group also combines materially different homes and locations. Its 32 records are not synonymous with lakefront, Martis Camp, new construction, or any other luxury segment. Matching on location, setting, size, condition, and property form remains necessary.

Practical use

For buyers, the table is a prompt to inspect price history and matched closed sales instead of applying one regional discount. For sellers, it is a prompt to define the true competitive set before choosing a pricing response. Read the market-time study and $3 million-plus study for the related evidence.

Turn the broad number into a property question

For a serious purchase or sale, define the exact address or search area, property form, price range, condition, setting, and intended timing. Then compare current competing listings and closely matched closed properties instead of applying a town-wide number mechanically.

Ask Trinkie Watson for a property-specific comparison, or start with the Lake Tahoe and Truckee community guides.

Frequently asked questions

Does a 97.4% median ratio mean a buyer should offer 2.6% less above $3 million?

No. It is a group median among 32 completed transactions, not an offer recommendation or property-specific value estimate.

Are all $3 million-plus records lakefront or luxury homes?

No. The price threshold alone does not identify setting, property type, neighborhood, condition, or complete luxury-market coverage.

Source and calculation method

Source: original analysis of “Sold June to August Tahoe Truckee.csv,” supplied for Trinkie Watson. Included: 246 unique records marked SOLD with closing dates from June 1 through August 31, 2026. Bands use each record's Sold Price with lower bounds included and upper bounds excluded. Sold-to-asking percentages are medians of record-level Sold Price divided by exported Asking Price. Market-time results exclude two records whose Closing Date precedes Listing Date. The file has no row-level property-type field and is not independently verified as complete-market coverage.

Download the aggregate price-band table.

Local guidance from Trinkie Watson

Chase International 531 N Lake Blvd., Tahoe City, CA 96145. 530.582.0722. View the Tahoe City office on Google Maps.

About Trinkie Watson · Explore Lake Tahoe and Truckee communities · Request a property-specific comparison.